Dictionary · Earnings
Earnings Gap: The Overnight Move a Report Can Cause
An earnings gap is the price jump a chart shows when a company reports outside market hours and the stock opens far from its last close. A stop order can't protect you from it, which is why position size has to.
DefinitionSeen on: Price chart
Earnings gap The difference between a stock's last closing price before an earnings report and its opening price after the report, shown on a chart as empty space between two bars.
FormulaGap % = (open after report - prior close) / prior close
Also called post-earnings gap, gap up, gap down.
Two hundred shares, a stop at $114, and a planned worst case of $1,200. The actual loss was $3,600. Nothing went wrong with the order. The stock closed at $120 the evening before a hypothetical company’s earnings report and opened the next morning at $102, and there was never a trade at $114 to fill against.
The gap, worked
The company reports after the close, as most do, so the stock reprices in after-hours and premarket trading and the regular session opens at the new level. The daily bar opens below the last one. Empty space sits between them.
The stop turned a $1,200 plan into a $3,600 fill. Three times the budget.
Why stops fill at the gapped price
A standard stop does nothing until a trade prints at or beyond its price, and at that point it turns into a market order and takes whatever price comes next, with no floor under it and no memory of where you meant to get out. After an earnings gap the first regular-session trade is at the open, so a sell stop at $114 triggers at $102 and fills around there, possibly a little lower in a fast opening.
Some brokers let you trade in the premarket session, before the regular open. That can get you out earlier. Liquidity there is usually thinner and spreads wider, and many stop orders are set to work only in regular hours, so check your broker’s rules for extended-hours orders before counting on it.
The only lever that works before the report is size. If you want a loss no bigger than $1,000 on a 15% gap in a $120 stock, each share can lose $18, so you can hold 1,000 / 18 = 55 shares, rounding down. That’s 55 x 18 = $990 at risk from a gap of that size. A 25% gap would cost more. The gap you plan for is a choice. The earnings gap loss calculator runs this for your own holdings, and the case for sizing a position by the gap before you hold through earnings sets out the reasoning in full.
How it shows up on a price chart
On a daily chart, an earnings gap is a jump between the prior bar’s close and the next bar’s open, often with heavy volume on the gap day. Intraday charts that hide extended hours make it look starker. Many charting tools mark earnings dates with a small icon along the bottom of the chart, which makes old gaps easy to find and useful for judging how big this stock’s reactions have tended to be in the past, although past reactions give no promise about the next one.
Gaps come in both directions. A gap up after a strong report is the same mechanism, and a short seller faces the same problem with a buy stop that fills far above its price.
After the gap
What happens next varies. A gap can extend for days as the market reprices the business, reverse inside the first session, or drift slowly back toward the prior close over weeks, and plenty never get back there at all. The old line that gaps always fill is a saying, with no rule behind it. The lesson on post-earnings drift and gaps covers how to recheck a position once the gap has happened, and why the decision after the open is a fresh one.
What people get wrong
The biggest mistake is trusting a stop to cap earnings risk. It handles a slide. A jump goes straight past it.
Another is forgetting which holdings report this week. A filtered earnings calendar makes the dates hard to miss.
A third is sizing the gap you plan for off the stock’s calmest reactions. Start from the biggest past moves and allow for a larger one.
Related terms
The implied move sits next to this term, since options price in an expected move before the report and that figure makes a fair starting point for the gap you size against. Post-earnings drift covers what comes after. More in the earnings hub.
People also ask
Does a stop loss protect you from an earnings gap?
Not much. Once triggered, a regular stop turns into a market order, and after a gap the first price available is the open, well beyond where you set the stop. Your fill lands close to that open. A stop limit order avoids the bad fill but may not fill at all, leaving you holding the stock as it keeps falling.
Do earnings gaps always fill?
No. A gap fills when the price later trades back to the prior close, and some do, while others extend in the direction of the gap for days or weeks as the market digests the report. There is no rule that a gap must close. Treat any plan that depends on a fill as a guess about what the next few sessions will do.